As I've said before: Scandals around Haakon and Mette-Marit in the past 3 years have weakened the monarchy's position in the Labour Party and the media, but as several experts says: There will never be any referendum as long as the King lives because that would mean political suicide, and probably not under Haakon's reign either. Because if Haakon and Mette-Marit stays away from trouble/scandals, then the monarchy will win by a large margin (propably by 70 to 80%) in a possible referendum.
[FONT=Arial,Helvetica]§ [/FONT]112 (1) [FONT=Arial,Helvetica]Such amendment must never, however, contradict the principles embodied in this Constitution, but solely relate to modifications of particular provisions which do not alter the spirit of the Constitution, and such amendment requires that two thirds of the Parliament [Storting] agree thereto.
With your views you are rather an unicum
I make no any illusion. I will see monarchies end in my lifetime. And when in a current monarchy a referendum has ended it, it will trigger similar referenda in other monarchies. No matter a referendum will be won or lost: it will cause the monarchy to become a topic of a heated discussion and then sharp-tongued debaters will clash with little-arguments-because-we-underestimate-the-whole-referendum-politicians and simply ask why Amalia von Amsberg, eh... pardon, "Van Oranje-Nassau" or the daughter of Daniel Westling from Örebrö have a birthright to sit an a throne and be the hereditary head-of-state.
Even in countries where -on the surface- monarchies seem to do well, one collapsing monarchy somewhere will cause all others to wobble on their foundations. This domino-effect is visible on all terrains: one monarchy (Sweden) changes the succession into a gender-neutral one. This is a trigger for almost all European monarchies to change their successions as well. One monarchy (Norway) sees a Heir marrying a fellow and non-blueblooded citizen, no backlash, and one by one all monarchies accept what was long considered as grave mésalliances. One state (the Netherlands) starts to accept same-gender marriages and the unthinkable happens: even Catholic states as Spain and Ireland allow same-gender formal relationships.
I think the first referendum will be in the usual "progressive" countries: Norway, Sweden, the Netherlands. The republicans do not need to win. When a monarchy wins with 56% pro and 44% against this is already close to the critical bottom because monarchies always claim "to be born by the people" and being "part of the identity of Norway, Sweden, Netherlands" etc. As we have seen in other referenda (Scotland, Catalonia) a close result only triggers for more and more referenda. My estimation is that the Netherlands will be the first to become a republic. Not because Willem-Alexander or Máxima are not popular, on the contrary...., but because the Dutch are lesser and lesser attached to the monarchy on itself. We see the same in Spain: it was more being a juancarlist than a royalist. In the Netherlands it is more about being an orangist than a royalist. Mark my words: only ONE modern monarchy needs to fall and all others will be questioned too.
It has nothing to do with trends. In the UK we have the Guardian and until recently the Independent who for years have wanted a Republic. In Denmark they have Ekstra Bladet.I think that it is a trend in Europe
Regularly you can hear or read those opinions in dutch papers or on the radio about monarchy in Holland
You are wrong. We've had record high support for the UK and Danish monarchies in many polls for the last 4 years and some of the best polls for the monarchy in Norway (with the exception of a VG poll in 2014) for the last 10 years.Even if they stay away from trouble/scandal I clearly see a trend in Europe where people are turning away from monarchy.
People are more and more critical about the fact that monarchy is hereditary
Experts disagree about that too, but the only party that wants a republic (the very small party SV which can be voted out of parliament in the election next year) agree with the other few politicians who support a republic that it should only be done with a referendum, but one expert who supports republic believes that the only way for Norway to become a republic is if the royal family go voluntarily because they can't bear the pressure any longer.In other words, my question, which is a rather technical one, is whether the constitution of Norway gives the Storting the authority under [/FONT][FONT=Arial,Helvetica]§ 112 to propose and approve a constitutional amendment abolishing the monarchy. [/FONT]
Well I still have to become older and I am conservative by nature. You would then think: "Duc-et-Pair wants to maintain what is worth maintaining, after all that is the essence of being conservative".
But exactly there is the crux: are the present monarchies worth to maintain? The conservative in me was shocked to see that a divorced lady presenting the news was perfect for becoming Queen of Spain. The conservative in me was shocked to see that a Catholic Argentine with a dubious family was perfect to become Queen of the Netherlands. Or that even having a child out of wedlock by another gentleman was no any hindrance to become Norway's future Queen.
You state that as people become older, they tend to become more conservative. But exactly conservative royalists are maybe thr first ones to end it because what they see is more a royal vaudeville undermining everything a monarchy once stood for. The future Queen of Sweden falling in love with her fitness trainer. Result: the daugter of that fitness trainer is the heiress, conveniently renamed "Bernadotte" while her real Bernadotte uncle and cousin are shoved aside. Morale of the story: don't count too much on conservatives because my guess this is not what they once thought was the embodiment of national history, of values, of dignity, of prestige, worth fighting for.
The remaining European monarchies survived the so-called "Age of Revolution" (1774-1848), two World Wars in the 20th Century, and the Cold War and the rise of communism. I guess it would be far-fetched to conclude that they will fall now because the "future queen of Sweden married her personal fitness trainer" or because they have switched to equal primogeniture in the royal succession.
[...]
I don't know. Aside from hiccups due to special events, monarchies are under pressure. Despite fitness-trainers, junta-daughters and newsreaders suddenly promoted to royal rank. Is this indeed what people want? A monarchy without distance? Your classmate being tomorrow's Queen?
It is under pressure by progressives. An it is under pressure by conservatives because this is has nothing to do with "royal family" anymore. It is a pure erosion from both sides ánd from within. With the Letizias, the Mette-Marits and then the not-royal-but-still-somewhere-royal Marius and the totally wiping the King away Máxima, I am not optimistic. They are the erosion within.
It has nothing to do with trends. In the UK we have the Guardian and until recently the Independent who for years have wanted a Republic. In Denmark they have Ekstra Bladet.
And there is a myth that most of the media in Sweden wants a Republic, but thats not true, because I don't think they are critical at all. And the King has gotten away with most of his scandals.
When it comes to Norway: we is that country out of these 4 who have most debate on the monarchy.
There were TV-debates about the monarchy constantly from 1998 until they were taken off the air due to financial problems in the media in 2010.
It flared up again in 2013 (this time in the newspapers) because of the so-called scandals surrounding Haakon and Mette-Marit and the fact that the experts started accusing them of interfering in politics. They are also criticized for being snobbish and that they should be more like the King and Queen.
But as I've said in my above post: Scandals around Haakon and Mette-Marit in the past 3 years have weakened the monarchy's position in the Labour Party and the media, but as several experts says: There will never be any referendum as long as the King lives because that would mean political suicide, and probably not under Haakon's reign either. Because if Haakon and Mette-Marit stays away from trouble/scandals, then the monarchy will win by a large margin (propably by 70 to 80%) in a possible referendum.
I can't speak for the Netherlands, Belgium and Spain, because I don't follow these monarchies, and I don't speak the languages. And that should be discussed in their respective threads and not here.
You are wrong. We've had record high support for the UK and Danish monarchies in many polls for the last 4 years and some of the best polls for the monarchy in Norway (with the exception of a VG poll in 2014) for the last 10 years.
And most people will never replace a constitutional monarchy with an divisive president who will cost as much if not even more.
And please don't reply to my post, because I will never agree with you. But can I ask - are you from a country with a monarchy? Because everything of what you have written does not match with the facts.
And when it comes to Duc_et_Pair's comment:
You don't speak Danish, Norwegian or Swedish or do you? And as I and other have told you several times: If the Royals had lived as they did in the 50s and married each other, then the monarchies had been abolished long ago. And as most experts say, and as I am 110% sure of: The UK, Denmark and Norway (if Haakon and Mette-Marit stays away of trouble) will still be monarchies in 2100.
The same with Sweden (although the Swedish monarchy is not as strong as the monarchies mentioned above) and as I also have told you several times before: If the Spanish monarchy should be abolished, it will have notting to say for the UK, Denmark, Norway or Sweden.
And when it comes to me: I have a British Mother who live in the UK wit her family and a Norwegian father who live in Norway with his family. I'm the opposite of conservative and supports the Labour Party both in the UK and Norway, and I was born in 1988.
I am big fan of my two monarch Queen (Elizabeth II) and some of her family members, and King Harald and some of his family members. But I also suports the constitutional monarchy as an institution.
Experts disagree about that too, but the only party that wants a republic (the very small party SV which can be voted out of parliament in the election next year) agree with the other few politicians who support a republic that it should only be done with a referendum, but one expert who supports republic believes that the only way for Norway to become a republic is if the royal family go voluntarily because they can't bear the pressure any longer.
SV has campaigned for a republic since being formed in 1975. They even took it up for vote in Parliament on the day King Olav suffered a stroke in 1990.
They wants a committee who shall come up with how a republic/president should work and then have a referendum.
And to others posters here, it's only the Norwegian monarchy who shall be discussed in this thread.
If there are bad writing in my post, this is because I have difficulty reading what I writes due to dyslexia.
We will wait and see if the existing monarchies have made the right choices indeed to ensure popular support needed to continue their existence ( I dare not to say "reign" as this means nothing at all).
Calling someone "pompous" because of the expressed regret about the disappearance of standards, values and norms which once shaped today's royal and aristocratic families is hmmm... weak.
These remaining European monarchies survived these revolutions, uproars, World Wars with royalborn spouses anyway. In Norway it were Princess Maud of Wales and Princess Märtha of Sweden. In Sweden it were Princess Viktoria von Baden, Princess Margaret of Counnaught, Princess Sibylla von Sachsen-Coburg und Gotha. Apparently their darkblue-blooded descent was no hindrance for the survival of the monarchies in Norway and Sweden.
These are figures any politician would give his eye teeth for, and gladden this monarchist's heart. However, I do wonder, as with Queen Elizabeth in Britain, whether some is the result of a stable, long-lived and popular monarch being on the throne. Might those figures go down a bit when Haakon becomes King?
The support around the royal house is growing - eight out of ten Norwegians say they support the monarchy.
The survey conducted by Norstat for NRK shows that support for the monarchy is growing. In 2005, seven out of ten answered that they supported the monarchy, while in the recent survey, eight out of ten said that they support the royal house.
The support is highest in Northern Norway and in the south with Telemark, while it is lowest in Oslo with 69 percent.
The survey shows that more women than men support the monarchy, and that the support is highest in the 30-39 age group (85 percent), while the the second highest support are among those under 30 (82 percent).
''It is the most dynamic age group, and it bodes well for the monarchy. It expresses a desire for a national stability in a troubled time, and the king shapes our self-image'', says author and royal biographer Tor Bomann-Larsen.
''One might imagine that the support was strongest in the oldest groups, so it's interesting. It confirms that the King is on the right course'', he said.
Overall, 81 per cent responded that they support the monarchy, 15 percent want a different form of government, while 4 percent responded in the survey that they don't know.
I'm a big fan of both the Crown Prince and Crown Princess and I like that they are trying to make Norway an even better and more inclusive society (as King Harald and Queen Sonja have done since they married in 1968), but they do it in a wrong way.These are figures any politician would give his eye teeth for, and gladden this monarchist's heart. However, I do wonder, as with Queen Elizabeth in Britain, whether some is the result of a stable, long-lived and popular monarch being on the throne. Might those figures go down a bit when Haakon becomes King?
The numbers always fluctuate when there is a change of sovereign, that would not be something uniquely Norwegian, if it were to take place. The King has said publicly he was convinced he would struggle to gain the position his father, His late Majesty King Olav V had, and as 25 years has proven, he was blissfully wrong.
A good, dutiful and steadfast monarch will always be embraced in Norway, and as these numbers show, even in future, the monarchy has solid grounds of support.
Sometimes what is 'tabloidly' called a scandal happens within the Royal Family as well, because it's made up of actual people who won't always be able to please 80%+ of people with their words or choices, but when those waves settle, the Norwegian monarchy is as much a staple of tomorrow as it is of yesterday, and will be just as safe in the hands of the Crown Prince as they are in the hands of the King.
One of many articles about this amazing poll:
Stadig flere vil beholde kongehuset - hegnar.no
And this is not well received in a country where the Law of Jante is still very present. And as a female Danish expert said when Queen Margrethe celebrated her 75th birthday: It's much harder to be royal in Norway than in Denmark and Sweden because everyone expects you to be like them.
I urge those who are interested to read (as you did) the Wikipedia article about it. In addition to the their explanation, I must add that the Law of Jante (Janteloven in Norwegian) is much more present in Norway than in the other Scandinavian countries: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?search=Law+of+Jante&title=Special:SearchI apologize for my ignorance, but I had to google "Law of Jante" to know what it was. The explanation I got from the Wikipedia link looks satisfactory, but maybe you would care to explain the meaning yourself for the sake of the broader audience.
You're very welcome!thank you for the explanation. Very interesting
I has seen some articles on Haakon's use of the public money and properties.
[...]Their approval ratings were above 80% until early 2013.
This was because we liked that they were like us, we liked that Mette-Marit had a history and we liked that Haakon was a caring stepfather to Marius.
In the last 3 years, this has unfortunately changed. Let me make some examples:
They have been criticized for:
1. They took the children out of the public school etc.
Most Norwegians reacted like this: They think they're better than everyone else. They don't think that the public school is good enough for them. Who the heck do they think they are.
2. Being friends with wealthy people, politicians, actors and for going on luxury boat-trips etc.
Most Norwegians reacted like this: They are snobbish. They are not like the King. They live like royalty did in the past. They are trying to reintroduce the nobility in Norway etc.
[...]
I will now try to answer Tatiana Maria's question while I go through the personal popularity of Norway's 3 monarchs and their impact on the popularity of the Norwegian monarchy and scandals who have threatened it.Why were critics of the monarchy cowed into silence under King Olav V? Was it the same with King Haakon VII?
What the public knew little about at the time, was that he was quite authoritarian and self-willed, temperamental and tough with his daughter in law, the then-Crown Princess Sonja.
''It took a few years before King Harald found his own role. But today we can safely conclude that he is closer to the people than his father was. Perhaps the most important moment was when he spoke at a memorial concert in Oslo Spektrum after the July 22 attack in 2011.''
Today it is 25 years since King Olav died. No Norwegians forget the poignant images of grieving people, in deep respect for the the nation's old king. His Majesty was dead, a central event in any monarchy, every nation.
Then came Harald, the monarch somewhat awkward son, and indeed, he managed to become, if possible, even more popular than his father. It did not take long either. Already the following year, when he comforted hurricane victims in the North Western Norway, he was established as the nation's top, the one treading forward and forms us when such is required.
Exactly! But it also creates problems (especially for people like Haakon and Mette-Marit), and as the Danish expert said, It's much harder to be royal in Norway than in Denmark and Sweden because everyone expects you to be like them.It is pleasingly demonstrative of Norwegian culture that Norwegians do not criticize their royal family for being "common", quite the contrary.
I'm a big fan of both the Crown Prince and Crown Princess and I like that they are trying to make Norway an even better and more inclusive society (as King Harald and Queen Sonja have done since they married in 1968), but they do it in a wrong way.
After the criticism from people/media calmed down after the wedding in 2001, both Haakon and Mette-Marit become very popular (I would say even more popular than what Frederik and Mary are in Denmark now). They got some criticism for the controversial journey they went on in 2010/2011, but it calmed down quickly. Their approval ratings were above 80% until early 2013.
In the last 3 years, this has unfortunately changed. They have been criticized for being friends with wealthy people, politicians, actors, for going on luxury boat-trips and for taking the children out of the public school etc.
And this is not well received in a country where the Law of Jante is still very present. And as a female Danish expert said when Queen Margrethe celebrated her 75th birthday: It's much harder to be royal in Norway than in Denmark and Sweden because everyone expects you to be like them.
Haakon: He interferes in politics, uses the royal court's money to build organizations and is bad at dealing with the media.
Mette-Marit: She's even worse at dealing with the media and gets cranky when she gets asked critical questions.
Many expert/journalists (who are very pro royal) is concerned about the monarchy's future when Haakon becomes king. And even worse: He has said that he will not change when he becomes King.
Haakon will also have an enormous task of taking over after King Harald, who is extremely popular.
1. Harald was a shy but popular crown prince who never interfered in political affairs. So he can not be compared with Haakon.
2. You write that, the monarchy ''will be just as safe in the hands of the Crown Prince as they are in the hands of the King''.
If he does not change? Then I'm not so sure about that.
If he change? Then I agree.
I quoted posts 109 and 112 so people can get a better understanding of the situation, bear in mind that these posts was responses to other posters:I hope people find post 110 interesting.
I urge those who are interested to read (as you did) the Wikipedia article about it. In addition to their explanation, I must add that the Law of Jante (Janteloven in Norwegian) is much more present in Norway than in the other Scandinavian countries: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?search=Law+of+Jante&title=Special:Search
I will now try to explain how the Law of Jante has affected Haakon and Mette-Marit's popularity:
As I said in post 109: After the criticism from people/media calmed down after the wedding in 2001, both Haakon and Mette-Marit become very popular (I would say even more popular than what Frederik and Mary are in Denmark now). They got some criticism for the controversial journey they went on in 2010/2011, but it calmed down quickly. Their approval ratings were above 80% until early 2013.
This was because we liked that they were like us, we liked that Mette-Marit had a history and we liked that Haakon was a caring stepfather to Marius.
In the last 3 years, this has unfortunately changed. Let me make some examples:
They have been criticized for:
1. They took the children out of the public school etc.
Most Norwegians reacted like this: They think they're better than everyone else. They don't think that the public school is good enough for them. Who the heck do they think they are.
2. Being friends with wealthy people, politicians, actors and for going on luxury boat-trips etc.
Most Norwegians reacted like this: They are snobbish. They are not like the King. They live like royalty did in the past. They are trying to reintroduce the nobility in Norway etc.
3. Haakon: He interferes in politics, uses the royal court's money to build organizations and is bad at dealing with the media.
Most Norwegians reacted like this: He behaves like a politician. He is arrogant etc.
4. Mette-Marit: She's even worse at dealing with the media and gets cranky when she gets asked critical questions. And she uses expensive clothing.
Most Norwegians reacted like this: She is arrogant. She can't handle criticism. She is snobbish. She is too grand etc.
Queen Sonja was also criticized for being snobbish, a bit cold and too grand, but it has calmed down over the past 10 years.
The first positive article in a 4 years time for the CP couple, but since it is a local paper, most people wont read it.A King and Queen was born
The royal couple turned 80 this year. But they don't have to worry about the future of the monarchy in Norway. The Crown Prince Couple already appear as the perfect heirs, ready to take the monarchy into the future. The visit to Namdalen has proved the value of a modern monarchy.
From the moment the crown prince couple arrived on a floating dock at Kongsmoen, they had the nam-dalingene (the people's in the county) in their hollow hand. Charming, welcoming, well prepared and apparently with good time, despite a very hectic program. The Crown Prince couple was smiling and kidding each other the whole time and appeared like a newly in love couple.
The Crown Prince couple's visit has given us more than a glimpse of Norway's future King and Queen. For anyone who is keen on pride of the place they come from, inclusion and unity - and that it is possible to create something in the smallest places - it was a very reassuring look into the future of the Kingdom of Norway, and Namdalen (place in Nord-Trøndelag county) in particular.