ChiaraC
Aristocracy , Royal Blogger
- Joined
- Aug 8, 2007
- Messages
- 924
- City
- Berlin
- Country
- Germany
6. Failure regarding the only important task: to bear a male heir ... continued
First, we have to say that, in the current situation, the very survival of the monarchy depends on two events that may or may not take place at some time in the future: 1. Hisahito must take the throne. (This is a royal forum, so I do not have to tell you how many things there are in this world that may impede a potential heir from actually inheriting. It does not even have to be a fatal car accident – falling in love with one Mrs Simpson can already be quite sufficient, at times.) 2. Hisahito must produce one son with his lawful spouse, at the very least. The problems here will predictably start with having to find a halfway acceptable girl who would be willing to marry him. Already Uncle Naruhito had, twenty years ago, a really hard time of finding a partner. The Newsweek magazine wrote in 1993 about Naruhito´s search for a bride:
Obviously, every monarchist would perceive this situation as completely unacceptable. It is absolutely within the range of possibility that Japan´s monarchy may get to be abolished not by a parliamentary decision, but by a mere accident. It is as if they were playing Russian roulette.
Even if the risky game should be won, though, there is still one problem that will arise in any case, even if all goes as well can possibly be hoped:
Accordingly, it would have, for merely practical reasons, been not just desirable, but rather necessary for the crown princess to also have a son. If all the young princesses marry out (and most of them are in their twenties, so it will probably happen soon), the imperial family is running out of members to a degree that would probably make them unable to attend to all their official duties in the very near future. Hisahito will be obliged to produce not only the requisite male heir (which can be bad enough as we have seen) but enough children (preferably male ones) to shoulder the imperial work for another generation. If his sisters and cousins are commoners this also means that nobody except his wife could represent him in state matters if he should fall ill (if even with just a flu) as long as his children are still minor.
If you accept just for a moment as a fact that reforms will not take place (because Japan´s lawmakers simply do not seem to get their act together), it is understandable why Masako was still required to have a son. At least, it seems to be, in the very first moment... But then, if you look a bit closer, all this quickly ceases to bear any rational logic whatsoever...
Just assume for a moment, that Masako would have “done her duty”, i. e. Aiko would have been a boy. I think, it is relatively safe to assume that in this case, Hisahito would have never been born. Accordingly, it would have been Masako´s son who would have found himself in the enviable position of having to shoulder all the imperial duties alone as well as having to produce the next imperial generation all by himself, along with the young lady who would have been sufficiently optimistic/naive/stupid/crazy/you name it... to accept his hand in marriage. That means, the monarchy would have been in the exactly same situation as it is now. So why, of all people, blame Masako for this mess? And this is, I think, where we are back to square one – or to part one of my answer...
The state of affairs regarding the monarchy is undoubtedly less than desirable, to put it cautiously. But there are a lot of people responsible for this. If you want to absolutely put the blame on somebody, there would be a wide range of potential candidates. So why Masako? - 1) because she was, from the point of view of several powerful people, the wrong person in this position from the very start. 2) because those who put up with her or supported her in spite of the people named in 1), failed to stand by the decision they made back in 1992. There is but one exception to be mentioned, one individual who did not betray her: Masako´s husband. And that is why he ends up being blamed, too...
***
Now here is, finally, THE END of a reeeeeaaaaally lengthy answer! Thanks for hanging in there to everybody who has made it to this point!
First, we have to say that, in the current situation, the very survival of the monarchy depends on two events that may or may not take place at some time in the future: 1. Hisahito must take the throne. (This is a royal forum, so I do not have to tell you how many things there are in this world that may impede a potential heir from actually inheriting. It does not even have to be a fatal car accident – falling in love with one Mrs Simpson can already be quite sufficient, at times.) 2. Hisahito must produce one son with his lawful spouse, at the very least. The problems here will predictably start with having to find a halfway acceptable girl who would be willing to marry him. Already Uncle Naruhito had, twenty years ago, a really hard time of finding a partner. The Newsweek magazine wrote in 1993 about Naruhito´s search for a bride:
It is fairly predictable that his Aunt Masako´s fate will reduce Hisahito´s chances of finding a bride even further (to just above zero, I´d reckon... ). But whatever the difficulties, he will have to master them somehow, because, if one of the above mentioned things (take the throne, produce a son) should not happen, that would be the end of the monarchy. Period. Full stop.Some who found out that they were on the kunaicho's list of potential candidates hurriedly found husbands, if only to be able to live a relatively normal life. Two other women in whom the prince took an interest, according to Japanese press reports, both rebuffed him. As time passed, his fruitless search became an increasing embarrassment to his family and the bureaucrats who manage their affairs. It was hardly his fault; by all accounts he is a friendly, intelligent man with a reasonably good sense of humor. No, the constant rejection served as powerful confirmation of just how removed the royal family had become from the dynamic country that had grown up just outside the moat.
Obviously, every monarchist would perceive this situation as completely unacceptable. It is absolutely within the range of possibility that Japan´s monarchy may get to be abolished not by a parliamentary decision, but by a mere accident. It is as if they were playing Russian roulette.
Even if the risky game should be won, though, there is still one problem that will arise in any case, even if all goes as well can possibly be hoped:
(And then there was one?: Japan’s right royal crisis, Jan 17, 2012)Japan’s Imperial family currently consists of 23 members spanning four generations. The oldest, Prince Mikasa, was born in 1915 and is the youngest brother of the late Emperor Hirohito. The youngest is 5-year-old Prince Hisahito, Akihito’s only grandson. Prince Hisahito has two older sisters (aged 16 and 20) and a famous cousin, 10-year-old Princess Aiko, the only child of Crown Prince Naruhito and his embattled wife, Princess Masako.
The Crown Prince has a brother, Prince Akishino (Hisahito’s father), and five cousins, grandchildren of Prince Mikasa. All of these cousins are princesses and all are in their twenties except for one, who just turned 30. In other words, apart from Prince Hisahito, all of the young members of the Imperial family are females who are either of marriageable age or will be within a decade. Given that Princess Masako was born in 1963 and Princess Akishino (Hisahito’s mother) in 1966, any further additions to the family would appear unlikely.
Under the current Imperial House Act, female members of the household cannot accede to the throne and may only retain their Imperial status if they marry other Imperials. As the above family tree makes clear, there are simply no young males in the family available, even if cousin-marrying was deemed an acceptable option. Thus, in order for the princesses to have families of their own, they must marry “commoners” and abandon their royal status.
Moreover, since members of the Imperial family are prohibited by law from adopting children, there is a very real prospect that in the not-too-distant future the Japanese Imperial household will be reduced to little more than a single nuclear family headed by Prince Hisahito and his wife.
Under current law, if all of the princesses marry out of the monarchy, Hisahito would quite literally be the only one left in the household to perform a myriad of state functions and religious ceremonies. He and his lucky spouse would also have to bear the intense pressure of producing male heirs to continue the lineage, a burden that reportedly drove his aunt, Princess Masako, to the brink of despair.
The onerous responsibility imposed by state functions on the Emperor should not be underestimated. Some of them, such as appointing the prime minister, receiving foreign ambassadors and promulgating new legislation, are mandated by the Constitution. Other members of the Imperial family thus play an important role not just as a source of potential heirs, but also as proxies for the Emperor when he is unavailable due to illness or other commitments. […] While the constitutional roles performed by the Emperor are formalities, if neither he nor any lawful proxies are available to perform them, a constitutional crisis is possible nonetheless.
Accordingly, it would have, for merely practical reasons, been not just desirable, but rather necessary for the crown princess to also have a son. If all the young princesses marry out (and most of them are in their twenties, so it will probably happen soon), the imperial family is running out of members to a degree that would probably make them unable to attend to all their official duties in the very near future. Hisahito will be obliged to produce not only the requisite male heir (which can be bad enough as we have seen) but enough children (preferably male ones) to shoulder the imperial work for another generation. If his sisters and cousins are commoners this also means that nobody except his wife could represent him in state matters if he should fall ill (if even with just a flu) as long as his children are still minor.
If you accept just for a moment as a fact that reforms will not take place (because Japan´s lawmakers simply do not seem to get their act together), it is understandable why Masako was still required to have a son. At least, it seems to be, in the very first moment... But then, if you look a bit closer, all this quickly ceases to bear any rational logic whatsoever...
Just assume for a moment, that Masako would have “done her duty”, i. e. Aiko would have been a boy. I think, it is relatively safe to assume that in this case, Hisahito would have never been born. Accordingly, it would have been Masako´s son who would have found himself in the enviable position of having to shoulder all the imperial duties alone as well as having to produce the next imperial generation all by himself, along with the young lady who would have been sufficiently optimistic/naive/stupid/crazy/you name it... to accept his hand in marriage. That means, the monarchy would have been in the exactly same situation as it is now. So why, of all people, blame Masako for this mess? And this is, I think, where we are back to square one – or to part one of my answer...
The state of affairs regarding the monarchy is undoubtedly less than desirable, to put it cautiously. But there are a lot of people responsible for this. If you want to absolutely put the blame on somebody, there would be a wide range of potential candidates. So why Masako? - 1) because she was, from the point of view of several powerful people, the wrong person in this position from the very start. 2) because those who put up with her or supported her in spite of the people named in 1), failed to stand by the decision they made back in 1992. There is but one exception to be mentioned, one individual who did not betray her: Masako´s husband. And that is why he ends up being blamed, too...
***
Now here is, finally, THE END of a reeeeeaaaaally lengthy answer! Thanks for hanging in there to everybody who has made it to this point!